Trump and Black Swans

The world waits with bated breath on how the Trump presidency will play out. There are protests, recriminations, gloating. Following closely on the debacle that was the Brexit polling, the ‘predictions’ about the U.S. election beg a question: how did the¬†pollsters get it so wrong? Similarly, and closer to home, hardly anyone predicted the passing Read more about Trump and Black Swans[…]